Reviewed against OWASP, NIST and ENISA primary sourcesLast reviewed 6 min read
Kort sagt
- AI changes the economics of reading alerts and of pursuing attack paths. Both are real and both are measurable.
- It does not change who answers for an automated action that breaks production.
- OWASP lists excessive agency as its own entry in the 2025 LLM Top 10, which is the field conceding the point.
- The buyer's question is not how autonomous a system is, but which actions it takes without asking.
- A system that cannot show its reasoning cannot be reviewed, and an unreviewable verdict is not evidence.
- Regulated buyers carry a second constraint: where inference runs, and whether that survives an audit.
The two things that genuinely changed
The first is the cost of reading. A security operations queue has always held more signal than a team can process, and the traditional answer was to raise thresholds until the volume fit the staffing. That is a rationing decision dressed as a tuning decision, and everything below the threshold was never examined by anyone. A system that can read every alert with its surrounding context removes the need to ration, which is a genuine change rather than a marketing one.
The second is the cost of pursuit. Confirming whether a finding actually leads anywhere has always been the expensive part of both detection and offensive testing, which is why so much tooling output stops at a severity score. Automating pursuit changes what a finding is: not a possibility, but a path that either terminates or does not.
Both are cost changes rather than capability changes, and that is the honest framing. Nothing here is a technique a competent human could not perform. What changes is how many times per day it is economically possible to perform it.
Over the reporting period, ENISA collected and curated 4 875 events. Once this significant share is redacted, the top five targeted sectors in the EU include public administration (38.2%), transport (7.5%), digital infrastructure and services (4.8%), finance (4.5%) and manufacturing (2.9%).
The volume the queue is drawn from
- 38.2 %
- of EU incidents hit public administration, the most targeted sector
- 60 %
- of observed cases began with phishing, still the primary entry point
- 81.4 %
- of EU sectors were affected by DDoS, the most prevalent threat in the period
- 53.7 %
- of recorded incidents involved essential entities under NIS2
Källa: ENISA Threat Landscape 2025
Källa: ENISA Threat Landscape 2025
Källa: ENISA Threat Landscape 2025
Källa: ENISA Threat Landscape 2025
What did not change, and why it matters commercially
Accountability did not move. If an automated response isolates a host in the middle of a payment run, the conversation afterwards is with your organisation, not with a model provider. Every serious buyer knows this, which is why a claim of full autonomy tends to lengthen a sales cycle rather than shorten it.
Verification did not become free either. A finding that has not been reproduced is a hypothesis, and shipping hypotheses to a customer moves the triage cost rather than removing it.
The field has largely conceded this in its own standards. The OWASP Top 10 for LLM Applications 2025 lists excessive agency as LLM06, a distinct risk category rather than a footnote about tuning. When the industry risk register names your product's headline feature as a hazard, the defensible position is to describe your brakes rather than your speed.
An LLM-based system is often granted a degree of agency by its developer, the ability to call functions or interface with other systems via extensions.
| Checkableask for evidence | Not checkabletreat as positioning | |
|---|---|---|
| Which actions run without approval | ✓ | ✕ |
| Whether reasoning is shown per verdict | ✓ | ✕ |
| Where inference runs, and under whose contract | ✓ | ✕ |
| Whether findings are reproduced before delivery | ✓ | ✕ |
| A percentage reduction in analyst workload | ✕ | ✓ |
| Detection accuracy as a single number | ✕ | ✓ |
| Being described as autonomous | ✕ | ✓ |
The left column is checkable because the answers are configuration facts a vendor can demonstrate on a screen. The right column depends on an estate, a baseline and a definition, none of which transfer between customers.
A framework already exists, and it is not vendor-owned
Buyers evaluating this category do not have to invent criteria. The NIST AI Risk Management Framework, NIST.AI.100-1, released on 26 January 2023, organises the problem into four functions: govern, map, measure and manage. It is voluntary and it is not a certification, which is precisely why it works as shared vocabulary between a buyer and a vendor who have never met.
NIST added a generative AI profile, NIST-AI-600-1, on 26 July 2024. That is the relevant companion when the system in question is model-driven rather than statistical, which is the case for everything currently marketed as an AI SOC.
European buyers carry a second layer. The AI Act, Regulation (EU) 2024/1689, entered into force on 12 July 2024 and sets obligations that vary with the risk class of the system. Whether a given security tool falls into a regulated class is a legal assessment for your organisation rather than something a vendor page can settle, and a vendor who asserts the answer is answering a question they cannot see.
Utilise human-in-the-loop control to require a human to approve high-impact actions before they are taken.
| Function | The question it puts to a vendor | What a good answer looks like |
|---|---|---|
| Govern | Who decides what the system may do unattended? | A named role and a written policy, not a default |
| Map | What is in scope, and what is deliberately outside it? | An explicit boundary, including what it will not touch |
| Measure | How do you know the verdicts are right? | Reproducible cases, not an accuracy percentage |
| Manage | What happens when it is wrong? | A rollback path and a record of what it did |
What the incident data says about the reading burden
The argument that reading volume is the binding constraint is easy to assert and worth checking against numbers. The ENISA Threat Landscape 2025 is the closest thing to a public census of European incidents, and its distribution is instructive.
Phishing accounts for around 60 percent of observed cases and vulnerability exploitation for 21.3 percent. Both are high-frequency, low-distinctiveness events: individually unremarkable, and dangerous mainly in aggregate or in combination. That is precisely the shape that gets lost when thresholds are raised to fit staffing.
The DDoS figure sharpens it further. Availability attacks affected 81.4 percent of EU sectors in the period and were largely hacktivist and low impact, which means most of them are noise that still has to be read before it can be dismissed. A queue dominated by events that are individually unimportant and collectively unignorable is the exact workload a model relieves and a human cannot.
| Vector | Share of observed cases | Why it is expensive to read |
|---|---|---|
| Phishing, including vishing and malspam | 60 % | High volume, mostly benign, occasionally the start of everything |
| Vulnerability exploitation | 21.3 % | Requires knowing which asset, which version, which exposure |
| Botnets | 9.9 % | Repetitive and easy to dismiss, which is how the real one gets dismissed |
| Malicious applications | 8 % | Needs provenance context most alerts do not carry |
| Insider unauthorised access | 0.8 % | Rare, high impact, and invisible without correlation |
Källa: ENISA Threat Landscape 2025
Why AI-native is not a product category
The phrase describes how something was built rather than what it does for you, which is why two products both described as AI-native can have nothing meaningful in common. It is the sort of term that helps a vendor position and hinders a buyer compare.
A more useful decomposition asks three separate questions. What does the system read? What does it decide? What does it do without being asked? Products that sound identical in a category name diverge sharply on the third.
That decomposition also survives the next model generation, which a feature comparison does not. The underlying models will change repeatedly during a normal contract term. What the system is permitted to do without approval is a property of your deployment, and it changes only when someone decides to change it.
The regulatory frame around the deployment
Where the European constraint bites
For an organisation inside NIS2 or DORA scope, a security tool is part of the estate being regulated. That turns two questions structural rather than preferential: where the processing happens, and whether the arrangement survives a supervisory conversation.
Model-driven tooling sharpens the question, because inference may run somewhere the rest of the stack does not. A detection pipeline hosted in Europe that sends alert context to an endpoint elsewhere has moved the data without moving the diagram, and the diagram is what most architecture reviews look at.
This is the one place where naming the model and the hosting is worth more than any accuracy claim. It is a fact about the contract rather than a fact about the technology, and a vendor who has thought about it can answer in a sentence.
Questions
Common questions
- What does AI actually change in a SOC?
- Two costs: reading every alert with its context, and pursuing a lead far enough to know whether it matters. Both were previously rationed by staffing rather than decided by judgement.
- Is an autonomous SOC a good thing?
- Autonomy is not the property to optimise for. OWASP lists excessive agency as LLM06 in its 2025 Top 10 for LLM applications. The question is which specific actions run without approval, and what the rollback path is.
- How should we evaluate vendors in this category?
- Use the NIST AI Risk Management Framework functions as the question set: who governs unattended action, what is in and out of scope, how verdicts are verified, and what happens when the system is wrong.
- Does the EU AI Act apply to security tooling?
- It depends on the risk class of the specific system and how it is used. The regulation entered into force on 12 July 2024, and the classification is a legal assessment for your organisation rather than something a vendor can assert on your behalf.
Primärkällor
Källor
Varje regulatoriskt påstående på den här sidan går att spåra till en av källorna nedan. Ingen av dem är en konsultblogg.
- OWASP Top 10 for LLM Applications 2025— The current list, including LLM06 Excessive Agency
- OWASP LLM06:2025 Excessive Agency— Autonomy as a named risk category
- NIST AI Risk Management Framework— NIST.AI.100-1 and the four core functions
- ENISA Threat Landscape 2025— 4875 incidents analysed, EU sector breakdown
- Artificial Intelligence Act (EU) 2024/1689— In force 12 July 2024, obligations by risk class
- NIS2 Directive (EU) 2022/2555— Why tooling is part of the regulated estate
Further reading
